Saudi Arabia Accelerates Renewables, Slows Domestic Oil Demand
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Riyadh, August 17, 2025 , In a pivotal shift for its energy strategy, Saudi Arabia, the world’s largest net crude exporter, is reducing domestic petroleum consumption by aggressively expanding renewable energy generation. This move marks a significant milestone in the kingdom’s Vision 2030 economic diversification plan.

Key Developments and Statistics

  • Saudi Arabia is targeting 130 GW of renewable capacity by 2030, approximating India’s current solar capacity.

  • Presently, about 25–33% of domestic oil consumption is used within oil- and fuel-oil-fired generators to meet peak summer power demand.

  • The ambition: transition to a gas-renewables mix, with a goal of 50% electricity from renewables by 2030 and net-zero carbon emissions by 2060.

  • A recent $8.3 billion renewable investment—led by ACWA Power and Aramco Power—aims to deliver 15 GW through five solar and two wind projects by 2028, serving regions including Riyadh, Mecca, Medina, and Aseer.

  • Massive wind project: Dumat Al-Jandal wind farm, costing $500 million, now online with 400 MW capacity—reducing emissions by 880,000 tons/year and powering around 70,000 homes.

  • The broader renewables roadmap also encompasses 40 GW of solar PV, 16 GW of wind, and 2.7 GW of concentrated solar power under a $50 billion investment targeting 2030.

  • The energy transition aligns with geopolitical trends: the Gulf, including Saudi Arabia, is investing heavily in clean energy to curtail oil use, lower domestic costs, and enhance energy exports.

Table: Saudi Arabia’s Energy Transition Targets

Aspect Current / Baseline Target by 2030
Domestic oil-fired power ~25–33% of consumption Significantly diminished
Renewable capacity ~4.3 GW solar (end of 2024) 130 GW total (solar + wind)
Renewables share in power Low 50% electricity generation
Planned new projects ACWA/Aramco: 15 GW by 2028 Fulfilled incremental increase
Major wind project Dumat Al-Jandal: 400 MW Operational, expanding capacity
Funding & Investment $0 baseline $8.3 billion (renewables), $50 billion plan
Emissions goal Long-term fossil dependence Net-zero by 2060
Geopolitical role Oil-focused influence Emerging renewables exporter, China-linked

Additional Context

  • Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund (PIF) has taken an $8 billion writedown in the value of its Vision 2030 megaprojects (like NEOM), signaling financial pressures partly driven by falling oil revenues.

  • The 2025 budget forecasts a $27 billion fiscal deficit, with oil revenues declining; this underscores the importance of cost-effective projects like renewables.

  • Oil price shocks and deficit concerns suggest that mega-urban projects may be scaled back in favor of essential infrastructure and diversified energy investments.

Strategic Implications

Saudi Arabia’s pivot from oil to renewables, and cleaner alternatives like gas, reflects a pragmatic strategy amid fluctuating oil markets and global climate pressures. Investing in robust renewable infrastructure offers several advantages:

  • Energy security: domestic renewables decrease oil-burn for power, freeing more oil for export.

  • Economic resilience: renewable projects help bridge budget gaps amid lower oil income and megaproject write-downs.

  • Global positioning: the Kingdom is cultivating a new image, both as a clean energy investor and an emerging exporter, with partnerships (notably with China) boosting manufacturing localization.

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